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Slide 1: FirstPartner FirstPartner
Welcome to VoIP Market Map
Welcome to the 2006 Q3 VoIP Market Map. It is an overview of the global VoIP industry on one page and includes key facts and underlying trends that drive this industry. 1) Starting at the top, the map identifies four main customer segments and their key needs. 2) It presents the complete range of phones and devices that customers can choose from to adopt VoIP service. 3) The map identifies different channels through which customers buy phones and VoIP services and solutions. 4) The map distinguishes between traditional service providers like fixed line carriers and new Internet telecom service providers. 5) It lists leading players that offer infrastructure and technologies to both service providers and enterprise customers.
2006 Market Map: Guide To VoIP
Kurt Lyall klyall@firstpartner.net Christopher Owen cowen@firstpartner.net
www.firstpartner.net t. +44 (0)870 874 8700
Customer Segments
Residential / Families
Needs: 1) Out of the box and simple to use 2) Reliability and low cost 3) Number portability
Small Office Home Office (SoHo)
Needs: 1) Ease of administration 2) Cost efffective 3) Network of users
Public Space / Campus
Needs: 1) Simple to use 2) Coverage and range 3) Fast hand-off
Enterprise
Needs: 1) Interoperability with legacy systems 2) Security and reliability 3) Operating cost
Phones / Hardware
Market Facts
1. Subscribers to retail VoIP service worldwide rose by 83% from 10.3 million at the beginning of 2005 to 18.7 million. 2. Number of subscribers paying for PC to phone service is over 4.7 million. Skype has the largest market share at 45%. 3. Time Warner Cable in USA signed up 900,000 subscribers in 2005. 4. France is the largest VoIP market in Europe with 2.8 million subscribers. 5. The VoIP market for hardware and software is led by Cisco, which had 24.3 % share in the Q106. Avaya came in second with 23.4 %.
Soft Phone / IM Software AOL BT Voyager CallComm Express Talk Google Jabber Lipz4 Microsoft
USB Phone Vendors Actiontec Atcom Canyon Clarisys Ipevo Onyx Philips US Robotics
Smart Phones Dell Eten Flipstart HP HTC iMate
Hybrid Devices AOL Portable IM Nintendo GameBoy Nokia NGage Sony Mylo Xbox Live! Hitachi Cable
Wi - Fi Phones Cisco Motorola NetGear Sony Symbol Toshiba UT Starcom Vocera
IP Phones Cisco Alcatel Siemens Cidico Mitel SIPPhone Snom Unidata Comms Systems
ATA Cisco Digium D-Link Grandstream Linksys Vegastream Zoom Zyxel
Other VoIP Voice BillKey Edgecore Logitech Motorola Netgear Polycom Sierra Wireless
US Pure-Play VOIP Market Share
20% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
55% 3% 4% 5% 5%
Vonage Lingo 8x8 (Packet8)
Source: Telephia
Verizon VoiceWing NetZero Voice Earthlink
AT&T CallVantage Broadvoice Other
SunRocket AOL
Channel
Mobile Operators 3 (Hutchison) KPN Mobile Retailers Circuit City CompUSA Dixons Mesh Computers PC Mall PC World Radio Shack Micro Centre CDW Walmart Tesco Carrefour Online / Mail Order Amazon Dabs Kelkoo Firebox VoIP Supply VoIP Phone Depot Firebox PC Telephone Play.com Shopping.com Talkip4u TigerDirect IT VARS / Resellers Brightstar Brightpoint Dangaard Data Sharp Telecom El Corte Ingles Micro Computer Smith Micro Tech Data Synnex Global IT Networks GTSI Computacenter Telecoms VARS / Resellers Central Telecom Data Sharp Telecom Equant L3N Netservices SouthernCom ABP Scantalk VoIPBitz Vonexus Lirex STS Accenture BT Consulting CapGemini Fujitsu Services HP Services Logica CMG System Integrators Atos Origin CommVerge Satyam Computers Tata Consultancy Orca Group Quentris
Market Drivers
30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 2004
Source: The Yankee Group, 2004
VoIP Penetration into Broadband Market (US)
2005
2006
2007
2008
Service Providers
Internet Telecom Service Providers Skype Vongage Lingo SunRocket Packet8 CallVantage Google Yahoo NetLogic VoIP Street CallServe iConnect InPhoneix Telappliant Earthlink PlusNet Symphony VoiceWing Voiceglo Go2Call BT Yahoo Easynet Kingston Mistral Plusnet Nildram Sky Tiscali Orange Demon Internet Service Providers AvantGo Covad ISP Net Canada FranceNet Road Runner NetZero Virgin.net Pipex AOL Datanet Wireless Internet Service Providers BT OpenZone Concourse Liberty Europe Swisscom T-Mobile Wayport Fiberlink iPass GoRemote Boingo Azulstar Mobiboo Clearwire Speednet Services Commspeed NextPhase Wireless FreshTel Avantel ERF Wireless Net2Phone 360 Networks Albacom CableVision Gamma Telecom Inmarsat iTXC KMC Telecom Primus Telecom Rapid Technology VoiceNet Alternatives Tech Terra TelCove Wave Crest Thus Viatel Modus Telecom Inclarity NewEdge Alternative Telecom Fixed Carriers British Telecom Deutsche Telekom France Telecom Telecom Italia KPN SingTel Telefonica Telia Sonera Telenor Cable & Wireless Comcast Hanara MCI Sprint Time Warner Cable NTT Verizon VSNL Qwest PCCW
Market Commentary
1. Service provider race
Low barriers to participation allow new entrants to launch services. Business models vary from provider to provider. Ultimately survivors must have strong funding, good marketing strategy and willing to fight for market share as traditional carriers are also launching competing services.
2. Infrastructure vendors have been over funded
Multiple specialist vendors, funded by VCs, have launched platforms and infrastructure to support VoIP services. Ultimately too many suppliers are currently in the market and very few will be able carve out a sustainable niche in the long-term. As technologies standardise, vendors will need to consolidate technologies to deliver better value propositions to carriers and enterprises.
3. Mainstream networking vendors are the main beneficiaries
Driven by the need for more bandwidth in order to deliver acceptable quality of service, mainstream network vendors are likely to benefit from VoIP helping to triggering customer up-grade and replacement cycles. ISPs will also benefit as businesses and consumers look to increase their network requirements.
4. VoIP over Wi-Fi is in hype mode
Unclear service delivery models, lack of hotspots and poor handset performance means that the combination of these two technologies will take longer than expected to become a meaningful service.
Platform
Example:
A viral network for sharing information and content Largest peer to peer system ever built Presence on over 100 million desktops Draws 1% of www bandwidth
Wholesale
Providers BT Wholesale Castle Networks First European Global Source Infocomm Level3 Primus Teleglobe
Termination & Preselect
Providers Annecto Telecom Bactel BandX Cable & Wireless Global Crossing Global Termination ICX Europe Verizon
IP to IP Interconnect
Providers Cable & Wireless Global Crossing InfinRoute Networks ITXC iBasis Level3 Progress Telecom Qwest
Centrex & VPBX
Providers Aastra Telecom Alcatel Avaya Nortel Polycom Samsung Siemens Sylantro C4L Belco Digium Speed Touch Nortel Tandberg Toshiba Unisys
CPE
Providers
5. VoIP over cellular networks
Solutions are being developed to enable customers to access buddy lists and make VoIM calls from their cellphone without incurring any long distance or per minute mobile charges in some cases. Tier 2 mobile operators are taking a lead through marketing arrangements with ITSPs to differentiate their consumer propositions and boost data ARPU.
Evolution of Skype Platform
FirstPartnergrowing strategic marketing and research agency. No other agency FirstPartner is a fast
has the strength of understanding of technology and its impact on changing customer behaviour, combined with marketing know-how. We take on big marketing challenges for our clients, helping them to, launch new technology based propositions and better optimise their marketing strategies. FirstPartner was established in 2001 and is growing on average more than 50% year-on-year. We have a unique and successful culture, thanks to our multi-disciplined teams covering marketing, creative, finance and research. Our track record speaks for itself and spans working with global brands through to the most innovative start-ups. Why not contact us to get your team up to speed and to build on the debate.
Technology and Platform Providers
Global IP Voxeo Ubiquity Software Mindspeed Sylantra Netwise ShoreTel Voice Processing IVR Content Opensource Platforms PIM Antispam & App. integration
Skype Developer Ecosystem
Voxeo Pamela Systems Voxpilot Scodor 4Teambiz VApps VideoIM Tellme
IVR Inbound PBX Video response Voicemail PIM Conferencing Video Voice portal
Carrier Grade IP Infrastructure
Soft Switches Gateways Media Services CRM Billing & Mediation Other
Enterprise IP Infrastructure
Unified Message IP PBXs/Centrex Switches Gateways Firewalls Access Points
Disclaimer
The map includes information compiled from various reputable sources and other methods like structured interviews and surveys, conference material and information available in the public domain. As data and information sources are outside our control, FirstPartner makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. All responsibility for any interpretation or actions based on this map lies solely with the reader. Copyright 2007
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Industry Enablers
Web Service Market Place
Strike Iron SAP
VoIP Experts
Pulver.com Patton
Leading Publications
VNU VON
Regulators
FCC Ofcom
Standard Bodies
H.323 (ITU) SIP (IETF)
Research & Advisory
Gartner FirstPartner