Slide 1: global design FUTURE Natasha Vita-More
Slide 2: IMPACT Design is one way to build and guide the impact of curative technologies that will have enormous impact on global society. One way we can formulate a plan of action is to look at the key areas that society depends upon and which are the driving forces of change.
Slide 3: GLOBAL DESIGN Environmental Technological Environmental Economics Social Design Sciences Education Entertainment Arts Political Molecular nanotechnology has the potential for changing how society performs big tasks on a small scale. Global Design is a field that can be developed through the efforts of renaissance design teams. These design teams would build strategic narratives for developing adaptive systems in forecasting, role playing and strategic gaming. The outcomes of these systems would develop into models for assessing and testing alternative futures.
Slide 4: GLOBAL DESIGN Environmental Technological Environmental Economics Social Design Sciences Education Entertainment Arts Political Molecular nanotechnology has the potential for changing how society performs big tasks on a small scale. Global Design is a field that can be developed through the efforts of renaissance design teams. These design teams would build strategic narratives for developing adaptive systems in forecasting, role playing and strategic gaming. The outcomes of these systems would develop into models for assessing and testing alternative futures.
Slide 5: Cultural Diversity Design Tools
Slide 6: Cultural Diversity Design Tools Recent Discontinuities Constants
Slide 7: Cultural Diversity Design Tools Recent Discontinuities Stakeholders Trends Constants
Slide 8: Cultural Diversity Emerging Issues Design Tools Recent Discontinuities Stakeholders Trends Constants Potential Events
Slide 9: New Ideas Emerging Issues Recent Discontinuities Stakeholders Trends Constants Critical Uncertainties Potential Events
Slide 10: Design is one way to build and guide the impact of curative technologies that will have enormous impact on global society.
Slide 11: Environmental Social Environmental Environmental Political Economics Technological Environmental
Slide 12: Environmental Social Environmental Environmental Environmental Environmental Political Economics Environmental Environmental Technological Environmental
Slide 13: Environmental Storytelling Entertainment Social Environmental Transpolitical Environmental Clean Sustainable Environment Environmental Environmental Political Blogocracy Economics Networks Environmental Environmental Technological Social Activism Social Anxiety Rapid Global change Environmental
Slide 14: Political - Blogocracy Environmental Transpolitics - Blogocracy Nomothetic and diplomacy-based referendums for voting on issues would be developed through pervasive computing environments. The ubiquitous environment would produce rapid multi-cultural communications. Open communications produces broader understanding and cooperation through online politics. Political Nanotechnology: Industrial Design — Environmental Completely new computing structures like molecular logic gates may lead to another quantum leap in computing power. These technologies could replace—at least in part —silicon-based computers, and help to give intelligence to everyday items. Needed: critical thinking and renaissance teams
Slide 15: Social - Narrative Environmental Social Narrative Descriptive narrative, better known as storytelling, has been the one single means by which society has learned about the world, people, places and events. From the cave paintings to the village oracle, society has cast an ear toward the future and the past through the words images and sounds of culture. Social Nanotechnology: Entertainment Design — Environmental There are many potential applications for nanotechnology, such as quickly constructed and deconstructed theatrical games. But it could be that entertainment design will be more valuable for culture if it is used as a means for narrating information and knowledge about rapid technological change. Needed: chroniclers and visionaries
Slide 16: Technological - Change Rapid Global Change Technological Change Managing the consequences of rapid technological change is structured by the efforts of two acting groups: progressives and conservatives. With opposing forces, there is little opportunity for impartial interaction. Because of this, the global community is lacking a structure to measure and cope with rapid technological change. Nanotechnology: Change Design Environmental It progresses in cycles that hinge on the discontinuities and the emergence of dominant design. It can be competence destroying – people are left with not knowing what to do with their traditional mind-set. It develop slowly at first, and then accelerates with a dominant design, and then slows again as efforts shift to new technologies It invades and eventually overwhelms the establish technology accepted by society as the norm. Needed: User-Friendly Instructions for adapting to change (or informed storytellers)
Slide 17: Economics – The Network Economics E-economy technocapitalism The Network What would it be like living in a world of 100% automation and perpetual adaptation? Will it be chaotic? What will a new economic environment would look like and will we use money? Networks Increasing return on sales Complex adaptive systems forming as networks. Dilution of Hierarchies Disequilibrium and Change Decentralization Can the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services and their management we run within an automated adaptive system? Needed: An economic theory to distinguish plausible Environmental from implausible claims about molecular nanotechnology.
Slide 18: Full Automation Events Patterns Perpetual Adaptation Network System Parts Structure Structure React Tools element Loose Complex system characteristics Active Adapt Create change Causal models element element Closed Variables Dilution of Hierarchies Disequilibrium and Change Links Loops Increasing return on sales Decentralization Analytical Concept Plausible vs. Implausible claims Behavior Quantities Environment
Slide 19: Design illustrates how the diverse parts fit together and how they function as an interconnected system. The methods of systems dynamics, scenarios, and forecasting are used to understand the interconnected system. These techniques help to track technical innovations, value shifts, geopolitical tides, environmental perturbations, economic developments, demographic patterns, and other trends of change. They also help to analyze historical facts, current trends, and to create scenarios of possible alternative futures.
Slide 20: “Global design” means how the entire world works.
Slide 26: Solving problems cannot be accomplished by following a straight line. Natasha Vita-More Cultural Strategist natasha@natasha.cc http://www.natasha.cc President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz