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Slide 1: Technical Meeting on Tropic Issue on Infrastructure Development : Common Challenge on the Site Selection for Nuclear Power Plant IAEA, VIENNA,6-9 JULY, 2010 SITE SELECTION AND EVALUATION IN THAILAND SUPAPOL RATANAKORN THE ELECTRICITY GENERATING AUTHORITY OF THAILAND
Slide 2: Thai Nuclear Power Program Nuclear Engineering Division Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
Slide 3: CONTENT THAI NUCLEAR POWER PROGRAM PREVIOUS SITING STUDY CURRENT SITING STUDY SITE SELECTION AND EVALUATION IN THAILAND SITE SURVEY CHALLANGES
Slide 4: Nuclear Power and National Energy Plan National Energy Policy Council approved Thailand Power Development Plan 2007-2021 (PDP 2007) On June 4, 2007 4x1,000-MWe NPP in 2020 (2 units) and 2021 (2 units) Cabinet approved Revision 2 of PDP 2007 On March 24, 2009 2x1,000-MWe NPP in 2020(1 unit) and 2021(1 unit) Cabinet approved New PDP 2010 (2010 – 2030) On March 30, 2010 5 NPP units (2020, 2021, 2024, 2025, 2028)
Slide 5: PDP 2010 Thailand Fuel Mix for Power Generation
Slide 6: On October 30, 2007 and December 18, 2007 Cabinet Approved Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Plan (NPIEP) Setup of Nuclear Power Program Development Office (NPPDO) Appointment of Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Cooperation Committee (NPICC) Public education and participation program Implementation plan and budget for pre-project activities (2008-2010)
Slide 7: National Energy Policy Council (NEPC) Ministry of Energy Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Cooperation Committee Nuclear Power Program Development Office (NPPDO) Setup on Jan 31, 08 Dr.Norkun Sitthiphong Director Assistant Director Experts Nuclear Power Infrastructure Cooperation Division Nuclear Power Utility Planning Cooperation Division Public Communication and Acceptance Division Central Management Division
Slide 8: Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Cooperation Committee Comprises 5 sub-committees (SC) : 2. Nuclear power utility planning appointed on December 26, 2007 1. Legal system, regulatory system and international protocols 3. Industrial infrastructure, technology transfer, technology development, and human resources development 5. Public information and national participation program 4. Nuclear safety and environmental protection Readiness Report (19 items of IAEA) within November 2010 SC 6 Readiness report preparation is created to finalize the
Slide 9: Infrastrucutre Development Programme 7-2010 2007 2011 2014 2020
Slide 10: Nuclear Power Project Schedule Preliminary Phase Pre-Project Activities Phase Project Implementation Phase Construction Phase Commercial Operation 1 year 3 years 3 years 6 years 2007 2008-2010 2011-2013 2014-2019 2020 GO NUCLEAR ! – Government to approve the project
Slide 11: For Pre-Project Activities Phase (2008-2010) Utility Preparation Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) is responsible for the first nuclear power station under the supervision of Nuclear Power Utility SubCommittee EGAT is currently conducting Nuclear Power Plant Feasibility Study planning, feasibility study, site selection, project implementation, construction and operation
Slide 12: 1. Energy Economics and Financing National Energy Market Analysis Electric System Analysis Choice of Unit Size Generation Cost Funding Review Nuclear Cost Estimates Nuclear Power Plant Feasibility Study 5. Site and Environmental Study STEP 1 – Identification of Candidate Sites STEP 2 – Evaluation of Candidate Sites 6. Human Resources Development and Management Aspects Human Resources Development Plan Project Development Legal Framework and licensing process 2. Technical and Safety Aspects of Nuclear Power Technical Aspects Safety Aspects Security and Safeguards 3. Fuel Cycle and Waste Management 4. Reactor Technology, Reactor Supplier and Fuel Supplier Selection Public Information and National Participation
Slide 13: Nuclear Power Plant Feasibility Study Task 1. Energy Economics and Financing 2. Technical and Safety Aspects of Nuclear Power 3. Fuel Cycle and Waste management 4. 5. Site and Environment Study Reactor Technology Supplier, and Fuel Supplier Selection (Oct 1, 08 – June 20, 10) Work Progress Cummulate Status % Complete 99 100 100 100 94 100 Human Resources Development and Management 6. Aspects Total Project Note: % complete is measured in terms of budgeted cost of work. 95
Slide 14: Site selection and evaluation Previous Siting Study
Slide 15: Site selection and evaluation Current Siting Study
Slide 16: STEP 1 - Identification of candidate sites Perform assessments on safety, economic and environmental aspects of the 17 potential sites identified by EGAT Identify at least 5 candidate sites for further consideration - Evaluation of candidate sites Conduct in-depth investigation and analyses to rank the 5 candidate sites from STEP 1 and identify 3 preferred sites Obtain design basis parameters for NPP STEP 2
Slide 17: Site and Environmental Assessments Scope of Works for Step 1 Part 1: Data Preparation: a. Engineering aspects such as topography, oceanography, hydrology, geology, geotechnical, seismology, b. Environmental aspects such as man induced events, demography, meteorology, land and water use, endangered species and sensitive items, ecology, and c. Cost Estimate for the installation of NPP Part 2 : Composite Ranking for Identification of Candidates Sites a. Preparation of criteria b. Evaluation criteria c. Comparison and ranking
Slide 18: Composite Ranking: Criteria The criteria is classified into three groups as: Group A: Engineering Aspects Topography, Oceanography, Geology and Geotechnical, Hydrology and Hydrogeology, Seismology, Man Induced Events. Group B: Environmental Aspects Demography, Meteorology, Land and Water Uses, Ecology. Group C: Cost Estimation for power plant components as cooling water system, transmission line, access road and etc. Endangered Species, Historical Monuments, Other Sensitive Items,
Slide 19: RESULT OF WEIGHT SCORE OF 17 POTENTIAL SITES(STEP 1) Table 7.3-1 RESULT OF ENVIRONMENTAL (ENV) AND ENGINEERING (ENG) SCORES AND COST OF 17 POTENTIAL SITES WITH INDIVIDUAL RANKS Weighted Score and Cost of Each Site Criteria Score Fang Daeng 295 9 Site 1 Site 2 Bang Boet Ban Leam Thaen Site 3 Ban Ban Pak Ban Laem Nam Talet Yang Lamae 285 324 14 5 Site 4 Site 5 Site 6 Ban Thong Not Site 7 Ban Thong Ching Site 8 Ban Thong Nian Site 9 Ban Takrob Thung Sai 303 7 Site 10 Site 11 Site 12 Khan Makham Hat So Ban Mai Phanom Sirin Thuli Thao Rut Rok dhorn 339 3 258 17 277 15 331 4 351 2 Site 13 Site 14 Site 15 Site 16 Site 17 • ENG Rank 500 299 8 312 6 286 13 295 9 290 11 287 12 275 16 399 1 • ENV Rank 500 329 8 324 9 305 14 342 6 368 3 311 11 306 13 315 10 305 14 311 11 354 5 391 1 291 16 201 17 362 4 387 2 342 6 • ENG+ENV Rank 1,000 624 8 623 9 617 10 627 7 692 5 597 14 601 13 605 12 592 15 614 11 629 6 730 3 548 16 478 17 693 4 738 2 741 1 • ECO(Cost) m. Baht 11,163 12,782 14,745 13,877 29,623 28,582 29,542 25,941 30,371 15,516 25,706 22,087 16,488 13,536 19,519 18,560 5,254 Rank R em ark : 2 3 6 5 16 14 15 13 17 7 12 11 8 4 10 9 1 S ite N o . 1 a n d 2 a re lo c a te d in P ra c h u a p K h iri K h a n P ro v in c e S ite N o . 3 , 4 a n d 5 a re lo c a te d in C h u m p h o n P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 5 is lo c a te d in T ra t P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 1 a n d 1 2 a re lo c a te d in S u ra t T h a n i P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 6 is lo c a te d in N a k h o n S a w a n P ro v in c e S ite N o . 6 , 7 , 8 , 9 a n d 1 0 a re lo c a te d in N a k h o n S i T h a m m a ra t P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 7 is lo c a te d a t A . S irid h o rn , U b o n ra tc h a th a n i P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 4 is lo c a te d a t A . S a tta h ip , C h o n B u ri P ro v in c e S ite N o . 1 3 is lo c a te d a t A . W a ts in g , C h a i N a t P ro v in c e
Slide 20: Site and Environmental Assessments QUANTITATIVE SITE EVALUATION INDIVIDUAL (USED COST10%) SIMILARY RANKED SITE NO Site1 Site2 Site3 Site4 Site5 Site6 Site7 Site8 Site9 Site10 Site11 Site12 Site13 Site14 Site15 Site16 Site17 NAME OF SITE B.FANG DAENG, PRACHUAP B. BANG BOET, PRACHUAP B. LAEM THAEN, CHUMPHON B. LEAM YANG, CHUMPHON B. PAK NAM LAMAE, CHUMPHON B. TALET, NAKHON SRI B. THONG NOT, NAKHON SRI B. THONG CHING, NAKHON SRI B. THONG NEIN, NAKHON SRI B.THUNG SAI, NAKHON SRI B. TAKROB, CHAIYA, SURAT KHANTULI, THA CHANA, SURAT MAKHAM TAO, CHAINAT B. HAT SO, SATTAHIP B. MAI RUT, TRAD PHANOM ROK, NAKHON SAWAN SIRINDHORN ENG. 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 4 5 ENVI. 4 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 3 1 5 5 4 ECO 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 5 50 40 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ENG. ENVI. ECO 10 300 300 260 250 360 230 230 230 230 250 230 370 200 130 380 430 460 ENG. ENVI. ECO 45 45 10 310 310 265 265 370 235 235 235 235 255 245 380 210 130 390 435 455 ENG. ENVI. ECO 40 50 10 320 320 270 280 380 240 240 240 240 260 260 390 130 130 400 440 450
Slide 21: Site and Environmental Assessments QUANTITATIVE SITE EVALUATION INDIVIDUAL (USED COST20%) SITE NO Site1 Site2 Site3 Site4 Site5 Site6 Site7 Site8 Site9 Site10 Site11 Site12 Site13 Site14 Site15 Site16 Site17 NAME OF SITE B.FANG DAENG, PRACHUAP B. BANG BOET, PRACHUAP B. LAEM THAEN, CHUMPHON B. LEAM YANG, CHUMPHON B. PAK NAM LAMAE, CHUMPHON B. TALET, NAKHON SRI B. THONG NOT, NAKHON SRI B. THONG CHING, NAKHON SRI B. THONG NEIN, NAKHON SRI B.THUNG SAI, NAKHON SRI B. TAKROB, CHAIYA, SURAT KHANTULI, THA CHANA, SURAT MAKHAM TAO, CHAINAT B. HAT SO, SATTAHIP B. MAI RUT, TRAD PHANOM ROK, NAKHON SAWAN SIRINDHORN SIMILARY RANKED ENG. 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 4 5 ENVI. 4 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 3 1 5 5 4 ECO 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 5 ENG. ENVI. ECO 50 30 20 300 300 270 250 320 210 210 210 210 250 210 340 200 160 360 410 470 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ENG. ENVI. ECO 40 40 20 320 320 280 280 340 220 220 220 220 260 240 360 220 160 380 420 460 ENG. ENVI. ECO 30 50 20 340 340 290 310 360 230 230 230 230 270 270 380 240 160 400 430 450
Slide 22: FIVE TECHNICAL GOOD SITES (After taking Site-17 into account) CONCLUSION OF SISR 1. SITE- 17: Sirindhorn, A. Sirindhorn, Ubon Ratchatani 2. SITE-16: Phanom Rok, A. Thatako, Nakornsawan, 3. SITE-15: Mai Root, A. Khlong Yai, Trad, 5. SITE-5: Pak Nam Lamae, A. Lamae, Chumporn, 4. SITE-12: Khantulee, A. Thachana, Surattani,
Slide 23: STEPSCOPE AND SCHEDULE OF STEP-2 Most of STEP-2 works are detailed study which involved with primary data gathering; field survey and investigation namely: a. Topographic Field Mapping b. Oceanography c. Geology and Geotechnical Study d. Hydrology e. Seismology f. Dose Assessment g. Land and Water Use h. Endangered Species and Ecology Socioi. Socio-economic and Cultural Impacts j. Cost Estimation
Slide 24: Site Survey Challenge Having difficulties accessing some potential sites due to local community opposition caused by: Pollution, Corruption, Unfair Compensation Bad experience on past industrial development projects Concerns on public safety (radiation leak and past nuclear accidents), possible contamination on agricultural and fishing products, and possible decrease in number of tourists Lack of basic understanding on radiation and nuclear power
Slide 25: NGO leaders in the area of Site 12 has led to people holding protest signs of a nuclear power plant at district 25 office.
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Slide 27: Other Challenging Issues Political instability Public education and acceptance Human resources development Laws and regulations for nuclear power Capability of nuclear regulatory body
Slide 28: Thank you for your attention 28