Slide 1: Technology, innovation and progress – thoughts on the picture
Yanki Margalit
big
Slide 2: Disclaimer
My personal thoughts and an intuitive collection of anecdotes. Not a scientific paper Photos, graphs and slides were copied from many other sources. I did my best to state the origin of materials. If you feel I should have not used specific images or text please let me know and I will stop using it. Wikipedia – of course – has been a great compass
Slide 3: My thoughts
Minor Scale
• • • • • • • •
The BIG timeline - When did it all start? Saw-tooth - Progress and decline The last second - From year 0 to 2000 Explosion? - Accelerating technology Windows of opportunities – Is one open now? The Silicon Wadi - The Israeli perspective Why - A personal question - What drives us? The future – What is next and our responsibility
Slide 4: The BIG timeline
• • • • • • • -4B -200K Developing the Homo Sapiens -200K -40K Developing Language, Stone -40K -12K Getting ready -12K -5K The Neolithic revolution -6K The Wheel 0 2K The last second 2K+ Nano, bio, clean, cyber Ex-planet, Social
Slide 5: Progress Energy, pattern, direction
Slide 6: Good Saw-tooth (worst exists)
I feel good
I am afraid
Slide 10: 2008 Global Economic Data
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CIA The World Fact Book
Slide 11: Time to market
1000-2000 years
A spoked wheel on display at The National Museum of Iran, in Tehran. The wheel is dated late 2nd millennium BC and was excavated at Choqa Zanbil.
Slide 12: So what is next?
• Brave new world
– The ultimate promise of technology
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Explosion
Slide 13: Windows for entrepreneurship
• • • •
Big and small windows Technology windows Culture & Social windows Personal windows
Innovation Productisation Industrialization Consolidation
• • •
Is the software window closed? Is the Internet apps window still open? What is the next window?
Slide 14: The Car Industry
Slide 15: Consolidation
Slide 16: The Silicon Wadi
Slide 17: In and Out?
Slide 18: I s r a e l
Slide 19: What drives us?
• Greed • Fear • Laziness • Curiosity • Natural selection • Self fulfillment
Slide 20: The FuTURE
Slide 21: The future
There'll be the breaking of the ancient western code Your private life will suddenly explode There'll be phantoms There'll be fires on the road and the white man dancing
Slide 25: Mingle and Network
• • • • • • The MIT Forum Mixer Tomo – Thursday 18:00 My place – Carmeli 6 – Ramat Hen Networking and fun talk Food of the future To avoid payment say “Yanki invited me”
Slide 29: Explosion?
