Slide 1: Open Networks: Theoretical and Policy Lessons from the Internet
François Bar
Slide 2: Modeling network change
• 1. Digital networks
– Network configuration independent from physical layout – Control separable from ownership
• 2. Hypotheses
– New network uses / innovation patterns – New network evolution dynamics
• 3. Evidence
– Corporate networks – Electronic marketplaces
• 4. Implications
– Understanding network transformation – Policy lessons
Slide 3: 1. New network possibilities
• Digital: bits, ubiquitous logic, and plentiful bandwidth • Programmable networks: network configuration written in software A given network supports multiple communication patterns Network control becomes flexibly separable from network ownership
Slide 4: Four broad media categories
live interpersonal delayed
mass
Slide 5: Media archetypes
live interpersonal delayed
telephone
mail
mass
television
newspaper
Slide 6: Distinct technical infrastructures
live interpersonal delayed
telephone Switched network copper wires
mail Packet switched trucks, planes, trains
mass
Broadcast network radio waves television
broadcast network print and deliver newspaper
Slide 7: Distinct actors
live interpersonal delayed
telephone AT&T, RBOCs
mail USPS FedEx, UPS
mass
CBS, ABC, NBC, Fox cable channels, cable networks television
Publishers newspaper
Slide 8: Distinct policy regimes
live interpersonal delayed
telephone Common carriage Price regulation Universal service
mail Common carriage Govnt ownership
mass
License television
Free speech no prior restraint newspaper
Slide 9: live interpersonal
delayed
telephone
mail answering machine voice mail
conference call
mass
television
newspaper
Slide 10: live interpersonal
delayed
telephone telegram overnight delivery
mail
mass mailing
mass
television
newspaper
Slide 11: live interpersonal
delayed
telephone
mail
targeted newsletters several editions per day
mass
television
newspaper
Slide 12: live interpersonal
delayed
telephone
mail
many channels
television
taped programs reruns newspaper
mass
Slide 13: Internet as convergence
live interpersonal delayed
telephone ip telephone
mail email
mass
web-cast television
listserv newspaper
Slide 14: old distinctions become irrelevant
live interpersonal delayed
telephone ip telephone CU-seeme web
mail email software updates listserv newspaper
mass
web-cast television
Slide 15: Characteristics of the new space?
live interpersonal delayed
"Open" means: •Internet as software overlay on existing networks •multiple communication patterns, invented by (lead) users •Interconnection becomes key
mass
Slide 16: Three-layer network model
Applications Control Hardware
Slide 17: Control is flexibly separable
Applications
Control
Hardware
Slide 18: Applications Control
Applications
Applications
Control Hardware
Hardware
Slide 19: SBC
Applications Control Hardware Applications
AOL
Applications
Control Hardware
Slide 20: Earthlink
Applications Control Hardware Applications Applications
Control Hardware
Slide 21: Corp. LAN
Applications Control Hardware Applications Applications
Control Hardware
Slide 22: Open networks' new possibilities
• Multiple diverse physical networks can be interconnected • Multiple communication patterns can be overlaid on a given network • Network owners no longer are the only actors who can do that • Users can control and configure the network they use New drivers of network evolution
Slide 23: 2. Open networks: theoretical implications
• Mechanisms driving network evolution • New ways to support and structure economic activities
– Organizations – Markets
Slide 24: Hypotheses
• Users –esp. Lead users– increasingly drive network innovation. • Iterative exploration process • Organizations and networks co-evolve • Network architecture matters • Various modes of intermediation yield different modes of innovation creation and diffusion
Slide 25: 3. Evidence
• Case studies / User Roundtables
Including: Bank of America, HP, General Motors, Levi Strauss, Bechtel, Cisco, Quantum, Peoplesoft, Solectron, Silicon Graphics,…
• Internal corporate networks • Inter-organizational networks • Electronic markets
Slide 26: Corporate Networks Evolution
Slide 27: Network evolution cycle: automation
1. automate
use network to do old things in new ways organization unchanged, new infrastructure deployed network as tool
Slide 28: Network evolution cycle: experimentation
1. automate 2. experiment
without fundamentally changing the network infrastructure in place after the automation phase, experiment with new applications marginal changes in organization and in network network as lab (bricolage)
Slide 29: Network evolution cycle: re-configuration
1. automate
limits of the old network have beenexperiment 2. reached organization and network change simultaneously network articulates change
3. re-organize
Slide 30: Network Evolution: start a new cycle
1. automate
a new network has been deployed, upon which new tasks can now be automated new network generation
2. experiment
3. re-organize
Slide 31: A succession of cycles
4. automate 6. re-organize 2. experiment
5. experiment
1. automate
3. re-organize
Slide 32: A succession of cycles… made of smaller cycles
4. automate 6. re-organize 2. experiment
5. experiment
1. automate
3. re-organize
Slide 33: Key features of the network evolution cycle
1. automate
Iterative Cumulative 2. experiment End-user driven Structured learning Embedded knowledge Path-dependent
3. re-organize
Slide 34: Co-evolution
network 1. automate 2. experiment organization
3. re-organize
Slide 35: Co-evolution requires Network flexibility
on ti ica ity p l il ap xib automate 1. fle
2. experiment
on ti ra y gu ilit fi ib on ex 3. re-organize c fl
Slide 36: Co-evolution requires Network flexibility
on ti ica ity p l il deploy ap xib automate a range of applications over a 1. stable network configuration le f 2. experiment n simultaneously - change network configuration to tio a provide new applications ur ity g il fi ib and nx 3. re-organize applications that take c o fle -invent new advantage of new configuration
possibilities
Slide 37: Network flexibility
on ti ica ity p l il ap xib automate 1. fle application 2. experiment layer on control layer ti ra y gu ilit fi ib 3. re-organize on ex c fl physical layer
Slide 38: Learning: using vs. doing
1. automate learning by using 2. experiment
learning by doing 3. re-organize
Slide 39: Learning: who learns?
1. automate learning by using network user
2. experiment network provider 3. re-organize learning by doing
Slide 40: Corporate network generations
19 95 -?
automate experiment
web portfolio
?
re-organize
5
19 85 -9
automate
experiment
hybrid network
re-organize experiment
5
19 75 -8
automate
private network
re-organize experiment
automate
public network
re-organize
Slide 41: Electronic Commerce
Slide 42: E-commerce promises: Structural change and efficiency
• • • • Entry barriers shattered Small is powerful Disintermediation Frictionless economy
Slide 43: The story so far...
• Entering is easy, staying is difficult • Large players dominate, consolidation • New intermediaries emerge, old intermediaries adapt • Stickiness provides traction, friction-free is slippery
Slide 44: Mapping E-commerce
deliverable transaction & payment marketplace infrastructure
Slide 45: Mapping E-commerce
l na o nti e ve rc n Co mme Co
conventional
deliverable transaction & payment marketplace infrastructure
C-good
Conventional marketplace
Slide 46: Mapping E-commerce
l na d t io de ce ven rce et-ai er n N mm Co mme o Co C
conventional electronic
deliverable transaction & payment marketplace infrastructure
C-good C-good
Conventional marketplace Electronic infrastructure
Slide 47: Mapping E-commerce
l na d t io de ce irect erce ven rce et-ai er nd I on me mm N mm Cm -co o E C Co
conventional electronic
deliverable transaction & payment marketplace infrastructure
C-good C-good
C-good
E-payment Conventional marketplace Electronic marketplace
Electronic infrastructure
Slide 48: Mapping E-commerce
l na d t io rce de ce irect erce ect ven rce et-ai er nd ir mme Do I on me mm N mm Cm o -c o E-C E C Co
conventional electronic
deliverable transaction & payment marketplace infrastructure
C-good C-good
C-good
E-good
E-delivery
E-payment Conventional marketplace Electronic marketplace
Electronic infrastructure
Slide 49: Mapping E-commerce Creating new Marketplaces
conventional electronic
C-good C-good
C-good
E-good
E-delivery
E-payment
marketplace
Conventional marketplace
Electronic marketplace
Electronic infrastructure
Slide 50: Not so new: Network-aided commerce
• Enhance the flow of market-related information • Inform price changes and relay them ("more dynamic pricing") • Fast, cost-effective demand and supply matching • Speed up transactions • Reach new customers • Lower sales and marketing costs • Lower procurement costs
Slide 52: Really new: The network is the marketplace
The network has become the place where fundamental market processes take place:
– discovery – matching – negotiation – transaction – (sometimes) delivery
Slide 53: Network configuration determines Marketplace architecture
• Who can play?
– Buyers, sellers, third parties – Equal or differential access
• By what rules?
– Exchange (bid/ask), auctions, catalog, brokerage,... – level or biased
⇒ network control yields market control
Slide 54: Multiple marketplaces
• Consolidate existing market relationships and market power (e.g. auto, Dell) • New trading and distribution spaces (e.g. Napster, content syndication) • Aggregate buyer power (e.g. procurement) • Walled gardens (e.g. AOL-TW, broadband cable, I-mode, WAP)
Slide 55: +
execution / fulfillment
E-marketplace
Neutral exchanges Buyers’ agents
Existing channels automation
Sellers’ agents
Content & Community portals
-
Discovery
+
Slide 56: Airline reservation systems
automate experiment
Orbitz, SABRE (travelocity)
re-organize automate experiment
Internet direct sales, multiple marketplaces
re-organize automate experiment
SABRE as open marketplace
re-organize automate experiment
re-organize
SABRE, closed system
Slide 57: 4. What this means
• User-driven innovation is now a core driver of network change • Economic organization and network infrastructure co-evolve
(true at various levels of analysis: small groups, firm, firm clusters, markets, national economy)
• Network architecture matters
economic control, innovation creation and diffusion, cross-learning, intermediation.
Slide 58: Policy implications
• A generic problem:
– Microsoft Windows as "control layer" – Broadband internet access – Interactive TV – Wireless
• Allocation of network control becomes a key policy issue • Open networks foster broad-based innovation